Merger and Acquisition Rates have Fallen to Pre-Pandemic Levels – is this a Result of Surging Bankruptcy Rates?
Merger and Acquisition Rates have Fallen to Pre-Pandemic Levels – is this a Result of Surging Bankruptcy Rates? The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has recently released alarming statistics regarding the number of Australian companies who have collapsed. From 1 July 2023 to 31 March 2024, 7,742 companies entered external administration, which is a 36.2% increase on the previous corresponding nine month period. Companies within the construction, accommodation and food services industries account for approximately 43 percent of that total. ASIC expected the number of companies entering external administration to exceed 10,000 by the end of the 2023/24 financial year, a level not seen since the 2012/13 financial year. That said, it is important to note there has be overall growth in company registrations during the last financial year. The failure rate as a proportion of registered businesses is actually lower than the 2012-2013 peak, however, what factors other than increased company registrations have led to the increase in businesses becoming insolvent? Corresponding with an increased business failure rate is a 31 percent decrease in merger and acquisition deal volume (M&A). The overall value of M&A deals dropped from 1022 in 2022 (worth $118.2 billion) to 708 in 2023 (worth $68.2 billion), which is the lowest number of transactions recorded in the last decade.[1] Are the high levels of failing companies having a detrimental impact on M&A transactions? If not, what other factors are influencing the M&A market post Covid? Does the current market present a good opportunity for investors and business owners? One theory is that higher business failure rates are in fact boosting M&A activity, potentially due to a number of factors such as generational change and compliance requirements in addition to the current cost of living financial pressures. What is an M&A? An M&A is a transaction involving one or more companies which allow businesses to increase performance by increasing or decreasing scale or scope, and diversifying risks across a range of activities. M&A’s are important for the efficient functioning of the economy and can range in value. For example, the largest deal conducted in Australia in 2023 was the acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited by Newmont Mining Corporation for a staggering $26.1 billion, while 38 percent of total M&As are valued at up to $10 million. When analysed separately, a merger and an acquisition are functionally similar, however, have some differences. Essentially, a merger involves two companies combining into a single new company, while an acquisition will see a larger company take over the interests of a smaller company, with no new entity being created. Regulatory Factors Influencing M&A Levels The Competition and Consumer Act 2010 (Cth) (Act) plays a role in many M&A transactions, as section 50 of the Act prohibits any merger that would have the effect, or be likely to have the effect, of substantially lessening competition in a market. Even though legislation governs mergers, 3 out of 4 mergers go unchecked by the regulator of the Act, the Australian Competition [...]